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¡Ingresa, regístrate y participa!
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CIUDAD DE MÉXICO - SPE Sección México recibe este 14 de octubre al Conferencista Distinguido Brad Berg impartiendo el tema "Characterizing Shale Plays - The Importance of Recognizing What You Don't Know",
en la Ciudad de México, te invitamos a participar a la transmisión en
vivo vía web para que no te pierdas detalle alguno de esta gran
conferencia.
Si deseas participar envíanos un email a seccionmexicospe@gmail.com con tus datos (Nombre, compañia, email) para poder realizar tu registro y enviarte el medio en que será transmitida.
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Biography
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Brad Berg serves as
Reservoir Engineering Manager for U.S. Onshore Exploration with Anadarko
Petroleum Corporation, one of the world’s largest independent E&P
Companies. His responsibilities include advising senior management on
the commercial viability of opportunities in the company's diverse
exploration portfolio. In his current role, he has been instrumental in
developing the methodology and tools that Anadarko uses to evaluate
unconventional resource plays. His team has assisted in the evaluation,
capture, and appraisal of Anadarko's positions in the Marcellus,
Maverick EagleFord, Avalon, and Ohio Utica shale plays, and they
continue to support exploration efforts in other promising areas of the
U.S. onshore. Brad has also served as the Reservoir Engineering Manager
for Anadarko's Gulf of Mexico deepwater exploration team, asset manager
for the mid-continent U.S. region, and has also contributed to the
development of several world class conventional reservoirs including the
Prudhoe Bay, Kuparuk, and Alpine fields in Alaska.
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Abstract
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Shale plays typically exhibit much more uncertainty in
individual well performance than conventional reservoirs. Understanding
this uncertainty is particularly critical during the exploration
drilling program when one has relatively few wells on which to base
decisions. A systematic approach to understanding and managing this
uncertainty can be used to address key questions during the early phases
of a drilling program, including "how many wells do I need to drill
before I have confidence in the results?" and "does the well performance
I’ve seen to date provide the encouragement needed to keep drilling?"
To answer these questions, one must quantify the uncertainty surrounding
individual well results. Key elements of this evaluation process
include: 1) identifying analogs that can provide insights into the level
of well performance uncertainty to expect; 2) stochastically modeling
the potential range of well results from the testing program; 3)
deciding what level of risk is acceptable to the decision-makers; and 4)
planning and executing a testing program that incorporates these
elements. The primary take-away from this presentation is that it is
critical to recognize, and properly characterize, uncertainty in shale
well production performance when planning an exploration drilling
program in shale plays. Without such an approach, the commercial
potential of a play may not be adequately characterized, leaving the
decision-makers without the information needed to determine the path
forward. Understanding the uncertainty in well performance, and planning
for it, will lead to more efficient exploration activity, and better
informed decisionmaking.
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